on-chain dossier · polymarket

Smart Money Dossier

Wallets selected for repeatable profit — a smooth equity curve, low concentration, profit across many months. Not the richest wallets, the most predictable ones. Each card shows how the trader earns, what they specialize in, and what they currently believe. The "Accessible / High-capital" tag flags wallets whose typical position size is too large to replicate on a normal account — profitable, but not copyable at retail scale.

78profiles
$15,295,874combined P&L
5niches
2026-07-21data as of
Copy-trade any wallet below directly through Overdog — non-custodial, deposit from EVM/Tron/Solana/BTC. Open on Telegram →
#1
🎯
Generalist
Broad topic coverage
89
$24,989true P&L
Accessible size med. position $619
100%winrate
22%median ROI
0.12concentration
100%profitable months
other $8,744
geopolitics $6,028
politics $2,379
sports $435
No Le Pen ankle monitor before French Presidential 0.64→0.80
Yes Will François Asselineau be on the ballot for th 0.09→0.18
Yes Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by August 31? 0.06→0.06 fresh
0x1c4cd350…318d85 ↗
#2
🌍
Geopolitics Reader
Reads conflicts and diplomacy
87
$40,741true P&L
Accessible size med. position $128
100%winrate
17%median ROI
0.15concentration
90%profitable months
geopolitics $52,982
other $1,169
Yes Iran successfully targets shipping on July 21? 0.87→0.81 fresh
0xfb328b94…6edb85 ↗
#3
🌍
Geopolitics Reader
Reads conflicts and diplomacy
86
$281,604true P&L
High-capital med. position $10,144
100%winrate
29%median ROI
0.16concentration
90%profitable months
geopolitics $285,493
No Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? 0.74→0.89
No Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia b 0.72→0.86
No Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by Dec 0.56→0.54 fresh
No Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? 0.79→0.89
0xd44e974a…5f67e2 ↗
#4
Sports Sniper
Matches and tournaments
86
$263,672true P&L
Accessible size med. position $332
100%winrate
72%median ROI
0.10concentration
100%profitable months
sports $67,475
other $3,843
geopolitics $1,138
no open positions
0x397e4f7f…e43d84 ↗
#5
🌍
Geopolitics Reader
Reads conflicts and diplomacy
86
$48,045true P&L
Accessible size med. position $522
100%winrate
31%median ROI
0.17concentration
95%profitable months
geopolitics $31,663
other $9,924
politics $1,520
sports $573
No US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by July 31? 0.67→0.76
No Will Trump pardon anyone by July 31? 0.63→0.81
Yes US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? 0.37→0.37 fresh
No Will there be Houthi military action against Isr 0.75→0.94
0x92d0cb81…bd269e ↗
#6
🌍
Geopolitics Reader
Reads conflicts and diplomacy
85
$122,445true P&L
Accessible size med. position $1,535
100%winrate
32%median ROI
0.16concentration
100%profitable months
geopolitics $46,641
other $16,253
politics $9,185
crypto $1,846
Yes US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 0.17→0.17 fresh
Yes US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 1 0.33→0.31 fresh
No Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? 0.50→0.60
Yes US announces halt in Iran offensive operations b 0.56→0.55 fresh
0x41583f2e…fece9f ↗
#7
Sports Sniper
Matches and tournaments
84
$434,659true P&L
Accessible size med. position $2,222
100%winrate
21%median ROI
0.21concentration
90%profitable months
sports $1,826,414
other $248,448
crypto $138,797
geopolitics $56,604
Yes Israel closes its airspace by July 24? 0.07→0.07 fresh
Yes Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotia 0.09→0.07
Yes Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotia 0.06→0.06 fresh
Yes Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by 0.03→0.02
0xdd225a03…f89ef1 ↗
#8
🎲
Longshot Hunter
Catches underpriced rare outcomes
84
$203,274true P&L
Accessible size med. position $470
100%winrate
78%median ROI
0.11concentration
79%profitable months
crypto $45,801
no open positions
0x912a5810…ca0f92 ↗
#9
Sports Sniper
Matches and tournaments
84
$24,010true P&L
Accessible size med. position $4,353
100%winrate
9%median ROI
0.25concentration
92%profitable months
sports $39,388
other $15,116
politics $3,644
No Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Cham 0.91→0.92 fresh
0x1e3f673c…0ae00b ↗
#10
Sports Sniper
Matches and tournaments
83
$105,956true P&L
Accessible size med. position $579
100%winrate
52%median ROI
0.11concentration
100%profitable months
other $114,569
sports $16,352
no open positions
0x0659099d…78d74d ↗
#11
🌍
Geopolitics Reader
Reads conflicts and diplomacy
83
$21,650true P&L
Accessible size med. position $1,000
100%winrate
17%median ROI
0.27concentration
90%profitable months
geopolitics $27,881
other $14,582
politics $1,248
sports $330
No Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? 0.77→0.93
0x312bcca3…61cafe ↗
#12
Sports Sniper
Matches and tournaments
82
$116,414true P&L
Accessible size med. position $4,000
100%winrate
60%median ROI
0.14concentration
80%profitable months
sports $78,778
other $59,127
politics $9,520
no open positions
0xc9228fb6…452618 ↗
#13
🌍
Geopolitics Reader
Reads conflicts and diplomacy
80
$77,198true P&L
Accessible size med. position $1,394
100%winrate
19%median ROI
0.18concentration
75%profitable months
geopolitics $81,682
other $14,775
politics $6,276
sports $2,586
No Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 20 0.74→0.84
0x52f518bd…7119da ↗
#14
🎯
Generalist
Broad topic coverage
80
$77,839true P&L
Accessible size med. position $633
100%winrate
21%median ROI
0.21concentration
90%profitable months
other $69,003
geopolitics $3,460
sports $711
crypto $555
No Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by Ju 0.99→0.99 fresh
Yes Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by De 0.64→0.55
No Xi Jinping out before 2027? 0.93→0.95 fresh
Yes Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? 0.91→0.93 fresh
0x8247f6d6…9dd8cc ↗
#15
🌍
Geopolitics Reader · favorite-backer
Reads conflicts and diplomacy
80
$63,342true P&L
Accessible size med. position $4,400
100%winrate
19%median ROI
0.20concentration
78%profitable months
geopolitics $130,053
other $30,760
crypto $8,272
politics $4,552
No Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiati 0.76→0.92
Yes Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by De 0.81→0.55
No Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? 0.75→0.72 fresh
No US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? 0.70→0.68 fresh
0x8597ca63…49daee ↗
#16
🎯
Generalist
Broad topic coverage
80
$51,776true P&L
Accessible size med. position $1,000
100%winrate
36%median ROI
0.29concentration
83%profitable months
other $58,335
sports $11,334
no open positions
0x9f117e88…54ddc4 ↗
#17
Sports Sniper
Matches and tournaments
79
$45,629true P&L
Accessible size med. position $751
100%winrate
32%median ROI
0.15concentration
83%profitable months
other $67,146
sports $38,223
No Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2 0.92→0.96 fresh
No Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? 0.80→0.72 fresh
Yes Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? 0.26→0.28 fresh
0x2fbccc39…6ef944 ↗
#18
Sports Sniper
Matches and tournaments
79
$49,270true P&L
Accessible size med. position $4,467
100%winrate
40%median ROI
0.17concentration
74%profitable months
sports $256,912
geopolitics $31,191
other $7,946
crypto $3,063
no open positions
0x2ada299a…9c2f28 ↗
#19
🎯
Generalist
Broad topic coverage
79
$99,059true P&L
Accessible size med. position $1,828
100%winrate
39%median ROI
0.12concentration
100%profitable months
sports $45,878
other $22,249
geopolitics $6,521
no open positions
0x75bd4409…df0288 ↗
#20
🎯
Generalist
Broad topic coverage
79
$639,742true P&L
High-capital med. position $8,147
100%winrate
27%median ROI
0.28concentration
76%profitable months
politics $766,014
other $540,097
geopolitics $224,603
sports $97,668
No Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? 0.80→0.72 fresh
No Will GameStop acquire eBay? 0.85→0.85 fresh
No Iran leadership change by July 31? 0.95→0.96 fresh
Yes Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movi 0.11→0.15
0xe25b9180…320f1b ↗
#21
🎯
Generalist
Broad topic coverage
78
$161,636true P&L
Accessible size med. position $2,198
100%winrate
37%median ROI
0.20concentration
81%profitable months
other $78,552
geopolitics $40,289
crypto $17,619
politics $2,160
No Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? 0.91→0.96 fresh
Yes Will there be no change in Fed interest rates af 0.84→0.84 fresh
No Iran leadership change by July 31? 0.95→0.96 fresh
No Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? 0.85→0.96
0x9dfe2f73…40b3dd ↗
#22
🎯
Generalist
Broad topic coverage
78
$134,012true P&L
Accessible size med. position $2,753
100%winrate
66%median ROI
0.09concentration
67%profitable months
sports $663,958
geopolitics $8,169
no open positions
0x9c95df82…dded41 ↗
#23
Sports Sniper
Matches and tournaments
78
$321,987true P&L
Accessible size med. position $2,325
100%winrate
57%median ROI
0.12concentration
89%profitable months
other $310,394
sports $27,155
Wildcard Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Wildcard - Map 1 Win 0.51→1.00
0x2d395d11…a06053 ↗
#24
🏛
Political Analyst · favorite-backer
Elections, power, institutions
78
$202,185true P&L
Accessible size med. position $4,500
100%winrate
25%median ROI
0.29concentration
76%profitable months
politics $203,107
crypto $129,565
sports $94,506
other $76,734
No Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July 0.90→0.91 fresh
No Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July? 0.81→0.98
0x998154d8…d7dec4 ↗
#25
🌍
Geopolitics Reader
Reads conflicts and diplomacy
78
$531,537true P&L
High-capital med. position $25,000
100%winrate
20%median ROI
0.25concentration
86%profitable months
geopolitics $512,411
politics $166,203
other $92,289
crypto $24,797
No Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential El 0.50→0.86
No Iran leadership change by December 31? 0.59→0.74
No Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? 0.70→0.72 fresh
Yes Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in t 0.61→0.56 fresh
0x614dc8d3…1d1546 ↗
#26
🎯
Generalist
Broad topic coverage
78
$21,093true P&L
Accessible size med. position $100
100%winrate
21%median ROI
0.19concentration
76%profitable months
other $17,419
geopolitics $11,968
politics $8,727
crypto $6,413
No Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Elect 0.50→0.80
Yes Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Elect 0.50→0.20
Yes Will there be no change in Fed interest rates af 0.89→0.84 fresh
No Next Mythos-Class Model released by July 31, 202 0.78→0.93
0x4fff3c11…57be78 ↗
#27
Sports Sniper
Matches and tournaments
78
$40,070true P&L
Accessible size med. position $283
100%winrate
47%median ROI
0.11concentration
100%profitable months
other $61,670
sports $7,890
politics $3,334
crypto $1,538
no open positions
0xc0f1388f…208680 ↗
#28
Sports Sniper
Matches and tournaments
77
$165,389true P&L
Accessible size med. position $3,000
100%winrate
64%median ROI
0.14concentration
80%profitable months
other $311,481
sports $65,226
FOKUS Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs FOKUS (+1.5) 0.55→1.00
No Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 202 0.84→0.94
FOKUS Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FOKUS (BO3) - StarLa 0.32→0.24
0x76451b71…d03117 ↗
#29
Sports Sniper
Matches and tournaments
77
$161,343true P&L
Accessible size med. position $1,979
100%winrate
65%median ROI
0.11concentration
80%profitable months
other $208,096
sports $38,502
geopolitics $10,007
no open positions
0x04bd900b…5a39a0 ↗
#30
🎯
Generalist
Broad topic coverage
77
$218,859true P&L
Accessible size med. position $888
100%winrate
54%median ROI
0.14concentration
68%profitable months
sports $434,719
other $36,823
geopolitics $10,450
no open positions
0x8c818a86…e3dcd3 ↗
#31
Sports Sniper
Matches and tournaments
76
$813,767true P&L
Accessible size med. position $4,473
100%winrate
44%median ROI
0.17concentration
69%profitable months
other $1,208,341
sports $115,419
no open positions
0x52ecea7b…bba6f3 ↗
#32
🏛
Political Analyst · favorite-backer
Elections, power, institutions
76
$19,833true P&L
Accessible size med. position $307
100%winrate
15%median ROI
0.28concentration
86%profitable months
politics $21,467
other $4,362
No Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Braz 0.38→0.40 fresh
0xe7590338…a1e7ca ↗
#33
Sports Sniper
Matches and tournaments
76
$576,373true P&L
Accessible size med. position $4,939
100%winrate
60%median ROI
0.13concentration
67%profitable months
other $443,038
crypto $32,333
sports $19,372
geopolitics $8,250
Yes Will the Democratic Party control the House afte 0.62→0.85
No Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in Califo 0.57→0.66
No Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? 0.81→0.96
No Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Elec 0.52→1.00
0xec981ed7…6bafcd ↗
#34
🎯
Generalist
Broad topic coverage
76
$33,041true P&L
Accessible size med. position $472
100%winrate
54%median ROI
0.18concentration
73%profitable months
sports $99,092
crypto $1,783
no open positions
0x1947814e…f094bc ↗
#35
Sports Sniper
Matches and tournaments
76
$57,120true P&L
Accessible size med. position $200
100%winrate
60%median ROI
0.13concentration
60%profitable months
sports $79,892
other $28,514
geopolitics $2,158
No Will Randers FC win on 2026-04-12? 0.76→1.00
Yes Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-04-12? 0.41→1.00
No Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-04-12? 0.52→1.00
No Will SS Lazio win on 2026-04-13? 0.72→1.00
0x29c0a89b…4aefaa ↗
#36
🏛
Political Analyst
Elections, power, institutions
76
$37,127true P&L
Accessible size med. position $1,000
100%winrate
18%median ROI
0.40concentration
81%profitable months
politics $21,634
geopolitics $7,573
other $7,049
sports $168
No Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31? 0.92→0.99 fresh
No Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of 0.94→0.96 fresh
No Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? 0.55→0.69
Yes Romanian PM Bolojan out by July 31? 0.05→0.03
0xadaf1c42…6bf9f2 ↗
#37
🎯
Generalist
Broad topic coverage
76
$940,179true P&L
High-capital med. position $6,638
100%winrate
60%median ROI
0.16concentration
100%profitable months
sports $1,421,892
geopolitics $18,934
no open positions
0x01c78f88…7ee995 ↗
#38
🌍
Geopolitics Reader
Reads conflicts and diplomacy
76
$20,293true P&L
Accessible size med. position $2,250
100%winrate
21%median ROI
0.24concentration
71%profitable months
geopolitics $41,537
other $9,910
politics $2,263
crypto $212
Yes Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? 0.31→0.85
No Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? 0.65→0.72
No US strike on Cuba by December 31? 0.52→0.67
0xc33d0504…f41b02 ↗
#39
🎯
Generalist
Broad topic coverage
76
$28,205true P&L
Accessible size med. position $500
100%winrate
24%median ROI
0.17concentration
67%profitable months
other $14,096
geopolitics $6,929
politics $1,780
sports $1,169
Yes Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? 0.99→1.00 fresh
No Iran leadership change by July 31? 0.96→0.96 fresh
No Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? 0.94→0.96 fresh
No Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? 0.86→0.72
0x15479479…66d066 ↗
#40
Sports Sniper
Matches and tournaments
75
$118,517true P&L
Accessible size med. position $200
100%winrate
42%median ROI
0.13concentration
67%profitable months
sports $85,350
other $41,239
politics $23,936
crypto $21,790
No Will Kendrick Lamar be the top artist in the US 0.90→0.93 fresh
Yes Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Braz 0.47→0.60
Yes Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican preside 0.21→0.28
Yes Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian pre 0.39→0.26
0xc684828f…532228 ↗
#41
🌍
Geopolitics Reader
Reads conflicts and diplomacy
75
$66,283true P&L
Accessible size med. position $300
100%winrate
22%median ROI
0.24concentration
71%profitable months
geopolitics $61,350
other $29,034
politics $6,910
Yes US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? 0.50→0.55 fresh
No US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026? 0.94→0.92 fresh
No Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. 0.92→0.99 fresh
Yes Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockp 0.29→0.14
0x5e73afb2…576697 ↗
#42
🎯
Generalist
Broad topic coverage
75
$262,044true P&L
Accessible size med. position $1,400
100%winrate
66%median ROI
0.11concentration
62%profitable months
sports $1,148,655
no open positions
0xd2678dc3…df9dc6 ↗
#43
Sports Sniper
Matches and tournaments
75
$28,125true P&L
Accessible size med. position $417
100%winrate
59%median ROI
0.21concentration
78%profitable months
other $62,481
sports $14,677
geopolitics $6,298
crypto $5,303
Yes Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Cham 0.54→0.74
No Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? 0.64→0.60 fresh
Yes Will Isaac del Toro win the White Jersey at the 0.45→0.60
Yes Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champi 0.11→0.02
0xf802a499…e8d91d ↗
#44
Sports Sniper
Matches and tournaments
75
$30,503true P&L
Accessible size med. position $0
100%winrate
44%median ROI
0.20concentration
78%profitable months
other $53,140
sports $20,495
crypto $1,083
geopolitics $856
no open positions
0x249f840c…95fed3 ↗
#45
Sports Sniper
Matches and tournaments
75
$145,669true P&L
Accessible size med. position $1,900
100%winrate
52%median ROI
0.19concentration
73%profitable months
sports $308,944
other $99,415
geopolitics $20,323
no open positions
0x6a32a31f…8d0086 ↗
#46
Sports Sniper
Matches and tournaments
75
$18,786true P&L
Accessible size med. position $1,100
100%winrate
62%median ROI
0.09concentration
75%profitable months
other $65,866
sports $4,961
geopolitics $1,136
no open positions
0xacf6aae9…3f41fc ↗
#47
Sports Sniper
Matches and tournaments
75
$105,388true P&L
Accessible size med. position $1,000
100%winrate
21%median ROI
0.19concentration
88%profitable months
sports $175,328
other $39,188
crypto $10,910
geopolitics $3,040
no open positions
0xa69b9933…397b0c ↗
#48
Sports Sniper
Matches and tournaments
75
$49,586true P&L
Accessible size med. position $43
100%winrate
27%median ROI
0.14concentration
100%profitable months
sports $11,427
crypto $521
no open positions
0x13997bdb…ee48c8 ↗
#49
🎯
Generalist
Broad topic coverage
74
$24,413true P&L
Accessible size med. position $0
100%winrate
11%median ROI
0.43concentration
86%profitable months
other $7,890
politics $7,807
sports $5,459
crypto $2,538
no open positions
0x5e7b2508…588767 ↗
#50
Sports Sniper
Matches and tournaments
74
$174,468true P&L
High-capital med. position $6,598
100%winrate
60%median ROI
0.10concentration
83%profitable months
sports $337,506
geopolitics $32,625
other $23,300
crypto $6,800
no open positions
0xfb681e23…dfa240 ↗
#51
🌍
Geopolitics Reader
Reads conflicts and diplomacy
74
$79,109true P&L
Accessible size med. position $2,616
100%winrate
21%median ROI
0.30concentration
74%profitable months
geopolitics $132,837
politics $49,558
other $27,332
crypto $24,514
Yes Will there be no change in Fed interest rates af 0.20→0.82
No Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? 0.79→0.72 fresh
Yes Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran e 0.84→0.74
Yes Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? 0.99→1.00 fresh
0xcb59ea1b…8f0a22 ↗
#52
Sports Sniper
Matches and tournaments
74
$317,516true P&L
High-capital med. position $6,033
100%winrate
46%median ROI
0.13concentration
86%profitable months
other $695,614
sports $105,352
no open positions
0x87da2f16…5b53d1 ↗
#53
Sports Sniper
Matches and tournaments
73
$38,582true P&L
Accessible size med. position $0
100%winrate
35%median ROI
0.19concentration
83%profitable months
other $59,752
sports $22,752
politics $20,155
geopolitics $1,236
no open positions
0x7cb4588e…9d00ea ↗
#54
🎯
Generalist
Broad topic coverage
73
$412,664true P&L
High-capital med. position $8,000
100%winrate
56%median ROI
0.10concentration
65%profitable months
sports $346,774
other $29,000
geopolitics $10,000
no open positions
0x18670d5a…1992ca ↗
#55
Sports Sniper
Matches and tournaments
73
$41,808true P&L
Accessible size med. position $813
100%winrate
51%median ROI
0.12concentration
62%profitable months
sports $121,286
geopolitics $16,527
politics $1,879
no open positions
0x986c0ba5…2a3180 ↗
#56
🏛
Political Analyst
Elections, power, institutions
73
$76,123true P&L
Accessible size med. position $100
100%winrate
13%median ROI
0.26concentration
74%profitable months
politics $29,471
other $15,941
geopolitics $4,537
sports $2,308
No Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race i 0.69→0.67 fresh
No Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be greater than 3. 0.90→0.96 fresh
No Will Winston Peters be the next Prime Minister o 0.92→0.98 fresh
No Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 1.5% an 0.67→0.74
0x7fb88c72…65d906 ↗
#57
Sports Sniper
Matches and tournaments
73
$79,005true P&L
High-capital med. position $5,355
100%winrate
51%median ROI
0.06concentration
62%profitable months
other $186,351
geopolitics $3,984
no open positions
0xa82a8a82…bda759 ↗
#58
🎯
Generalist
Broad topic coverage
73
$467,317true P&L
High-capital med. position $33,099
100%winrate
62%median ROI
0.11concentration
62%profitable months
sports $1,460,248
other $26,500
geopolitics $25,388
no open positions
0xad947fcb…c585b1 ↗
#59
🎯
Generalist
Broad topic coverage
72
$2,010,190true P&L
High-capital med. position $11,867
100%winrate
65%median ROI
0.16concentration
64%profitable months
sports $4,104,732
other $81,029
no open positions
0x57cd9399…08a0fb ↗
#60
Crypto Analyst
Prices, protocols, listings
72
$39,537true P&L
Accessible size med. position $100
100%winrate
4%median ROI
0.15concentration
50%profitable months
crypto $35,662
sports $10,311
other $722
No Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the ne 0.96→1.00 fresh
Yes Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? 0.40→1.00
No Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next 0.98→1.00 fresh
Israel Will US or Israel strike Iran first? 0.69→0.50
0x99cf17d0…20a86a ↗
#61
Sports Sniper · favorite-backer
Matches and tournaments
71
$31,121true P&L
Accessible size med. position $932
100%winrate
26%median ROI
0.09concentration
62%profitable months
sports $64,238
geopolitics $3,895
other $2,289
no open positions
0xcddbc52b…1b0d22 ↗
#62
🎯
Generalist
Broad topic coverage
71
$47,423true P&L
High-capital med. position $15,965
100%winrate
62%median ROI
0.15concentration
83%profitable months
sports $292,356
crypto $8,986
no open positions
0x5fe98b89…485e52 ↗
#63
🌍
Geopolitics Reader
Reads conflicts and diplomacy
71
$157,625true P&L
Accessible size med. position $690
100%winrate
24%median ROI
0.31concentration
88%profitable months
geopolitics $171,858
other $51,926
politics $6,982
crypto $3,869
No Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by July 31? 0.82→0.85 fresh
Yes Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense 0.14→0.06
Yes Iran successfully targets shipping on July 19? 0.09→0.13
Yes Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense 0.17→0.08
0x853c37a9…46bd03 ↗
#64
Sports Sniper
Matches and tournaments
71
$259,954true P&L
Accessible size med. position $2,578
100%winrate
50%median ROI
0.15concentration
83%profitable months
other $258,967
sports $13,656
no open positions
0x913c76e1…6039b3 ↗
#65
Sports Sniper
Matches and tournaments
71
$29,558true P&L
Accessible size med. position $2,000
100%winrate
54%median ROI
0.19concentration
75%profitable months
other $91,462
sports $2,968
no open positions
0x26d6f472…8f56ef ↗
#66
Sports Sniper
Matches and tournaments
71
$954,209true P&L
High-capital med. position $30,248
100%winrate
48%median ROI
0.13concentration
100%profitable months
other $3,633,935
sports $681,460
no open positions
0xe16d3f2a…5e5e30 ↗
#67
🎯
Generalist
Broad topic coverage
71
$563,027true P&L
High-capital med. position $44,296
100%winrate
26%median ROI
0.24concentration
60%profitable months
geopolitics $628,348
other $564,684
politics $286,367
crypto $87,151
No Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiati 0.69→0.92
Yes Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 0.54→0.54 fresh
No Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiati 0.76→0.97
Yes Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 202 0.51→0.23
0xc851cd9b…12cd2a ↗
#68
Sports Sniper
Matches and tournaments
71
$237,430true P&L
Accessible size med. position $1,926
100%winrate
54%median ROI
0.07concentration
48%profitable months
sports $223,619
other $110,559
geopolitics $15,672
no open positions
0x97e12cc7…c8017b ↗
#69
Sports Sniper
Matches and tournaments
70
$159,980true P&L
Accessible size med. position $1,164
100%winrate
62%median ROI
0.13concentration
83%profitable months
other $253,935
sports $65,730
geopolitics $9,108
no open positions
0xf7c2664c…a79b8d ↗
#70
🎯
Generalist
Broad topic coverage
70
$94,493true P&L
High-capital med. position $20,310
68%winrate
45%median ROI
0.18concentration
100%profitable months
sports $241,178
crypto $10,045
no open positions
0x9828fd0c…bf0f7e ↗
#71
Sports Sniper
Matches and tournaments
70
$151,238true P&L
High-capital med. position $245,619
100%winrate
24%median ROI
0.38concentration
71%profitable months
sports $1,500,821
crypto $149,409
other $39,724
geopolitics $28,605
No Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential E 0.50→0.99
Yes Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential E 0.50→0.01
Yes Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be bet 0.72→0.88
0x14c32680…4cdf68 ↗
#72
🎯
Generalist
Broad topic coverage
70
$26,618true P&L
Accessible size med. position $152
100%winrate
47%median ROI
0.14concentration
100%profitable months
sports $36,692
other $5,299
no open positions
0x9079e3b1…a0b19b ↗
#73
🌍
Geopolitics Reader
Reads conflicts and diplomacy
70
$25,236true P&L
Accessible size med. position $1,879
100%winrate
19%median ROI
0.29concentration
88%profitable months
geopolitics $55,439
other $3,358
crypto $2,682
politics $528
No Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by 0.90→0.93 fresh
No Iran full airspace closure by August 31? 0.54→0.56 fresh
Yes Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by Au 0.14→0.14 fresh
Yes Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps a 0.07→0.17
0x34379b9a…07f8f3 ↗
#74
Sports Sniper
Matches and tournaments
70
$146,675true P&L
High-capital med. position $6,680
100%winrate
44%median ROI
0.13concentration
83%profitable months
sports $792,677
other $149,481
crypto $15,444
geopolitics $10,270
no open positions
0x618534be…882965 ↗
#75
Sports Sniper
Matches and tournaments
70
$211,144true P&L
Accessible size med. position $1,139
100%winrate
40%median ROI
0.09concentration
100%profitable months
other $120,958
sports $12,832
crypto $2,860
geopolitics $2,576
no open positions
0xf3ef6ac0…c1ca6b ↗
#76
Sports Sniper
Matches and tournaments
70
$20,652true P&L
Accessible size med. position $769
100%winrate
25%median ROI
0.09concentration
56%profitable months
other $29,626
sports $1,258
no open positions
0xca1f5c0b…b9ed28 ↗
#77
Sports Sniper
Matches and tournaments
70
$112,489true P&L
Accessible size med. position $3,933
100%winrate
52%median ROI
0.15concentration
48%profitable months
other $290,932
sports $39,349
no open positions
0x08c26396…7bc023 ↗
#78
Sports Sniper
Matches and tournaments
70
$206,006true P&L
Accessible size med. position $2,527
100%winrate
53%median ROI
0.13concentration
60%profitable months
sports $352,498
other $65,028
New York Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankees 0.58→0.56 fresh
0x9fad8308…1f5a9f ↗